CeeDee Lamb vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start CeeDee Lamb this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (16.1 vs 13.7).
CeeDee Lamb faces HOU, the 6th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. DeVonta Smith faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans CeeDee Lamb by 2.4 points of value over replacement (70.4 vs 68.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: CeeDee Lamb goes first at ADP 10.4 vs 29.1 for DeVonta Smith.
Health note: DeVonta Smith carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| CeeDee LambDAL | DeVonta SmithPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 16.1 | 13.7 | Lamb +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #6 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 248.9 | 246.5 | Lamb +2.4 pts |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 14.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 70.4 | 68.1 | Lamb +2.4 |
| Overall rank | #24 | #25 | Lamb by 1 |
| Position rank | WR7 | WR8 | |
| Market ADP | 10.4 | 29.1 | Smith +18.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start CeeDee Lamb or DeVonta Smith in Week 4?
Start CeeDee Lamb this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (16.1 vs 13.7).
Should I draft CeeDee Lamb or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
CeeDee Lamb. He projects 248.9 fantasy points with 70.4 value over replacement, vs 246.5 points and 68.1 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.