CeeDee Lamb vs Justin Jefferson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start CeeDee Lamb this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (16.3 vs 13.9).
CeeDee Lamb faces HOU, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Justin Jefferson faces MIA, the 16th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes CeeDee Lamb: a clear but modest edge of 13.0 points of value over replacement (70.4 vs 57.5).
The draft market agrees: CeeDee Lamb goes first at ADP 10.4 vs 11.8 for Justin Jefferson.
Health note: Justin Jefferson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| CeeDee LambDAL | Justin JeffersonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | MIA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 16.3 | 13.9 | Lamb +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 248.9 | 235.9 | Lamb +13.0 pts |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 13.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 70.4 | 57.5 | Lamb +13.0 |
| Overall rank | #24 | #29 | Lamb by 5 |
| Position rank | WR6 | WR9 | |
| Market ADP | 10.4 | 11.8 | Jefferson +1.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 1 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start CeeDee Lamb or Justin Jefferson in Week 4?
Start CeeDee Lamb this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (16.3 vs 13.9).
Should I draft CeeDee Lamb or Justin Jefferson in 2026 fantasy football?
CeeDee Lamb. He projects 248.9 fantasy points with 70.4 value over replacement, vs 235.9 points and 57.5 for Justin Jefferson (WR, PPR).