Drake London vs Justin Jefferson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Drake London by 0.9 projected points (15.0 vs 14.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Drake London faces BAL, the 11th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Justin Jefferson faces NO, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Drake London: a clear but modest edge of 10.4 points of value over replacement (68.3 vs 57.9).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Justin Jefferson first (ADP 11.8 vs 13.5). If the model is right, Drake London is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Justin Jefferson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Drake LondonATL | Justin JeffersonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | BAL | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 15.0 | 14.1 | London +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #11 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 246.3 | 235.9 | London +10.4 pts |
| Points per game | 14.5 | 13.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 68.3 | 57.9 | London +10.4 |
| Overall rank | #24 | #29 | London by 5 |
| Position rank | WR7 | WR10 | |
| Market ADP | 13.5 | 11.8 | London +1.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 1 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Drake London or Justin Jefferson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Drake London by 0.9 projected points (15.0 vs 14.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Drake London or Justin Jefferson in 2026 fantasy football?
Drake London. He projects 246.3 fantasy points with 68.3 value over replacement, vs 235.9 points and 57.9 for Justin Jefferson (WR, PPR).