A.J. Brown vs Drake London
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 0.6 projected points (15.6 vs 15.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
A.J. Brown faces LV, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Drake London faces BAL, the 11th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 4.8 points of value over replacement (72.7 vs 67.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Drake London first (ADP 13.5 vs 16.6). If the model is right, A.J. Brown is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: A.J. Brown carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| A.J. BrownNWE | Drake LondonATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LV | BAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 15.6 | 15.0 | Brown +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #8 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 251.1 | 246.3 | Brown +4.8 pts |
| Points per game | 14.8 | 14.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 72.7 | 67.9 | Brown +4.8 |
| Overall rank | #22 | #24 | Brown by 2 |
| Position rank | WR5 | WR7 | |
| Market ADP | 16.6 | 13.5 | Brown +3.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start A.J. Brown or Drake London in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 0.6 projected points (15.6 vs 15.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft A.J. Brown or Drake London in 2026 fantasy football?
A.J. Brown. He projects 251.1 fantasy points with 72.7 value over replacement, vs 246.3 points and 67.9 for Drake London (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.