DeVonta Smith vs Drake London
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans DeVonta Smith by 0.0 projected points (13.7 vs 13.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
DeVonta Smith faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Drake London faces NO, the 25th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans DeVonta Smith by 0.2 points of value over replacement (68.1 vs 67.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Drake London first (ADP 13.5 vs 29.1). If the model is right, DeVonta Smith is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: DeVonta Smith carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| DeVonta SmithPHI | Drake LondonATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LA | NO | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.7 | 13.6 | Even |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 246.5 | 246.3 | Smith +0.2 pts |
| Points per game | 14.5 | 14.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 68.1 | 67.9 | Smith +0.2 |
| Overall rank | #25 | #26 | Smith by 1 |
| Position rank | WR8 | WR9 | |
| Market ADP | 29.1 | 13.5 | Smith +15.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Drake London in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans DeVonta Smith by 0.0 projected points (13.7 vs 13.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft DeVonta Smith or Drake London in 2026 fantasy football?
DeVonta Smith. He projects 246.5 fantasy points with 68.1 value over replacement, vs 246.3 points and 67.9 for Drake London (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.