George Pickens vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start George Pickens this week, and it isn't close: 4.2 projected points separate them (16.0 vs 11.9).
George Pickens faces HOU, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. DeVonta Smith faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes George Pickens, and it isn't close: 34.7 points of value over replacement separate them (66.8 vs 32.1).
The draft market agrees: George Pickens goes first at ADP 20.6 vs 29.1 for DeVonta Smith.
| George PickensDAL | DeVonta SmithPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 16.0 | 11.9 | Pickens +4.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 245.3 | 210.6 | Pickens +34.7 pts |
| Points per game | 14.4 | 12.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 66.8 | 32.1 | Pickens +34.7 |
| Overall rank | #26 | #42 | Pickens by 16 |
| Position rank | WR8 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 20.6 | 29.1 | Smith +8.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 10 |
Should I start George Pickens or DeVonta Smith in Week 4?
Start George Pickens this week, and it isn't close: 4.2 projected points separate them (16.0 vs 11.9).
Should I draft George Pickens or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
George Pickens. He projects 245.3 fantasy points with 66.8 value over replacement, vs 210.6 points and 32.1 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR).