Chris Olave vs Malik Nabers
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Olave by 0.6 projected points (13.6 vs 13.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Olave faces MIN, the 21st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Malik Nabers faces WAS, the 10th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Olave, and it isn't close: 17.7 points of value over replacement separate them (51.0 vs 33.3).
The draft market agrees: Chris Olave goes first at ADP 19.9 vs 27.1 for Malik Nabers.
| Chris OlaveNOR | Malik NabersNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIN | WAS | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 13.6 | 13.0 | Olave +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #21 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 229.4 | 211.7 | Olave +17.7 pts |
| Points per game | 13.5 | 12.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 51.0 | 33.3 | Olave +17.7 |
| Overall rank | #37 | #43 | Olave by 6 |
| Position rank | WR13 | WR15 | |
| Market ADP | 19.9 | 27.1 | Nabers +7.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Chris Olave or Malik Nabers in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Olave by 0.6 projected points (13.6 vs 13.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Chris Olave or Malik Nabers in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Olave. He projects 229.4 fantasy points with 51.0 value over replacement, vs 211.7 points and 33.3 for Malik Nabers (WR, PPR).