Chris Olave vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tetairoa McMillan by 0.4 projected points (13.1 vs 12.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tetairoa McMillan faces NO, the 12th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Chris Olave faces CAR, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Chris Olave ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Olave: a clear but modest edge of 10.0 points of value over replacement (47.2 vs 37.2).
The draft market agrees: Chris Olave goes first at ADP 19.9 vs 31.5 for Tetairoa McMillan.
| Chris OlaveNOR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | CAR | NO | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 12.7 | 13.1 | McMillan +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #23 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 224.3 | 214.3 | Olave +10.0 pts |
| Points per game | 13.2 | 12.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 47.2 | 37.2 | Olave +10.0 |
| Overall rank | #36 | #40 | Olave by 4 |
| Position rank | WR12 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 19.9 | 31.5 | McMillan +11.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 |
Should I start Chris Olave or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tetairoa McMillan by 0.4 projected points (13.1 vs 12.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Chris Olave or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Olave. He projects 224.3 fantasy points with 47.2 value over replacement, vs 214.3 points and 37.2 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR).