Zay Flowers vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR12
Zay Flowers
217.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR13
Tetairoa McMillan
213.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Zay Flowers by 3.7 points of value over replacement (44.2 vs 40.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Zay Flowers goes first at ADP 26.1 vs 32.2 for Tetairoa McMillan.
| Zay FlowersBAL | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 217.0 | 213.3 | Flowers +3.7 pts |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 12.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 44.2 | 40.5 | Flowers +3.7 |
| Overall rank | #36 | #38 | Flowers by 2 |
| Position rank | WR12 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 26.1 | 32.2 | McMillan +6.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 5 |
Should I draft Zay Flowers or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
Zay Flowers. He projects 217.0 fantasy points with 44.2 value over replacement, vs 213.3 points and 40.5 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.