Head to head · WR · 2026

Zay Flowers vs Tetairoa McMillan

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.

The model's pick
Zay Flowers

This one is a coin flip. The model leans Zay Flowers by 3.7 points of value over replacement (44.2 vs 40.6) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.

The draft market agrees: Zay Flowers goes first at ADP 26.2 vs 33.0 for Tetairoa McMillan.

Health note: Tetairoa McMillan carries an injury flag — Questionable (Ankle) — which is already reflected in his projection.

Zay Flowers Tetairoa McMillan
Team BAL CAR
Overall rank #36 #38
Position rank WR12 WR13
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 217.0 213.3
Value over replacement (VBD) 44.2 40.6
Market ADP 26.2 33.0
Injury flag Questionable

Should I draft Zay Flowers or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?

Zay Flowers. He projects 217.0 fantasy points with 44.2 value over replacement, vs 213.3 points and 40.6 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.