Zay Flowers vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Zay Flowers this week: Tetairoa McMillan is on bye in Week 5.
Zay Flowers gets ATL, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week, projecting 13.5 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Zay Flowers, and it isn't close: 16.0 points of value over replacement separate them (52.3 vs 36.3).
The draft market agrees: Zay Flowers goes first at ADP 24.8 vs 31.5 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Health note: Zay Flowers carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Zay FlowersBAL | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | ATL | Bye | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 13.5 | 0.0 | Flowers +13.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #22 | - | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 230.3 | 214.3 | Flowers +16.0 pts |
| Points per game | 13.5 | 12.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 52.3 | 36.3 | Flowers +16.0 |
| Overall rank | #35 | #42 | Flowers by 7 |
| Position rank | WR12 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 24.8 | 31.5 | McMillan +6.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Zay Flowers or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5?
Start Zay Flowers this week: Tetairoa McMillan is on bye in Week 5.
Should I draft Zay Flowers or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
Zay Flowers. He projects 230.3 fantasy points with 52.3 value over replacement, vs 214.3 points and 36.3 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR).