Justin Jefferson vs Zay Flowers
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR8
Justin Jefferson
231.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR11
Zay Flowers
223.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Justin Jefferson: a clear but modest edge of 8.5 points of value over replacement (51.7 vs 43.2).
The draft market agrees: Justin Jefferson goes first at ADP 11.7 vs 25.9 for Zay Flowers.
Health note: Zay Flowers carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Justin JeffersonMIN | Zay FlowersBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 231.9 | 223.4 | Jefferson +8.5 pts |
| Points per game | 13.6 | 13.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 51.7 | 43.2 | Jefferson +8.5 |
| Overall rank | #30 | #35 | Jefferson by 5 |
| Position rank | WR8 | WR11 | |
| Market ADP | 11.7 | 25.9 | Flowers +14.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Justin Jefferson or Zay Flowers in 2026 fantasy football?
Justin Jefferson. He projects 231.9 fantasy points with 51.7 value over replacement, vs 223.4 points and 43.2 for Zay Flowers (WR, PPR).