Nico Collins vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Nico Collins this week: Tetairoa McMillan is on bye in Week 5.
Nico Collins gets TEN, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week, projecting 13.5 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Nico Collins, and it isn't close: 19.3 points of value over replacement separate them (55.1 vs 35.8).
The draft market agrees: Nico Collins goes first at ADP 19.6 vs 31.5 for Tetairoa McMillan.
| Nico CollinsHOU | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TEN | Bye | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 13.5 | 0.0 | Collins +13.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #23 | - | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 233.6 | 214.3 | Collins +19.3 pts |
| Points per game | 13.7 | 12.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 55.1 | 35.8 | Collins +19.3 |
| Overall rank | #33 | #42 | Collins by 9 |
| Position rank | WR11 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 19.6 | 31.5 | McMillan +11.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 5 |
Should I start Nico Collins or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5?
Start Nico Collins this week: Tetairoa McMillan is on bye in Week 5.
Should I draft Nico Collins or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
Nico Collins. He projects 233.6 fantasy points with 55.1 value over replacement, vs 214.3 points and 35.8 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR).