Head to head · WR · 2026
Nico Collins vs Zay Flowers
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Nico Collins
The model takes Nico Collins: a clear but modest edge of 12.2 points of value over replacement (56.4 vs 44.2).
The draft market agrees: Nico Collins goes first at ADP 23.5 vs 25.2 for Zay Flowers.
| Nico Collins | Zay Flowers | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | HOU | BAL | |
| Overall rank | #31 | #36 | Collins by 5 |
| Position rank | WR9 | WR12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 229.1 | 217.0 | Collins +12.2 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 56.4 | 44.2 | Collins +12.2 |
| Market ADP | 23.5 | 25.2 | Flowers +1.7 cheaper |
Should I draft Nico Collins or Zay Flowers in 2026 fantasy football?
Nico Collins. He projects 229.1 fantasy points with 56.4 value over replacement, vs 217.0 points and 44.2 for Zay Flowers (WR, PPR).