Nico Collins vs Malik Nabers
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Nico Collins this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (14.0 vs 11.6).
Nico Collins faces DAL, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Malik Nabers faces ARI, the 26th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Nico Collins, and it isn't close: 19.2 points of value over replacement separate them (52.4 vs 33.1).
The draft market agrees: Nico Collins goes first at ADP 19.6 vs 27.1 for Malik Nabers.
Health note: Nico Collins carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Nico CollinsHOU | Malik NabersNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DAL | ARI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.0 | 11.6 | Collins +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 230.8 | 211.6 | Collins +19.2 pts |
| Points per game | 13.6 | 12.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 52.4 | 33.1 | Collins +19.2 |
| Overall rank | #32 | #41 | Collins by 9 |
| Position rank | WR10 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 19.6 | 27.1 | Nabers +7.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Nico Collins or Malik Nabers in Week 4?
Start Nico Collins this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (14.0 vs 11.6).
Should I draft Nico Collins or Malik Nabers in 2026 fantasy football?
Nico Collins. He projects 230.8 fantasy points with 52.4 value over replacement, vs 211.6 points and 33.1 for Malik Nabers (WR, PPR).