A.J. Brown vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 0.1 projected points (13.3 vs 13.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
A.J. Brown faces NYJ, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tetairoa McMillan faces PHI, the 12th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 4.1 points of value over replacement (43.4 vs 39.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: A.J. Brown goes first at ADP 16.6 vs 31.5 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Health note: A.J. Brown carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| A.J. BrownNWE | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NYJ | PHI | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 13.3 | 13.1 | Brown +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #15 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 221.8 | 217.7 | Brown +4.1 pts |
| Points per game | 13.0 | 12.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 43.4 | 39.2 | Brown +4.1 |
| Overall rank | #39 | #41 | Brown by 2 |
| Position rank | WR13 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 16.6 | 31.5 | McMillan +14.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 0.1 projected points (13.3 vs 13.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
A.J. Brown. He projects 221.8 fantasy points with 43.4 value over replacement, vs 217.7 points and 39.2 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.