A.J. Brown vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR11
A.J. Brown
221.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR13
Tetairoa McMillan
213.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes A.J. Brown: a clear but modest edge of 7.8 points of value over replacement (48.3 vs 40.5).
The draft market agrees: A.J. Brown goes first at ADP 18.2 vs 32.2 for Tetairoa McMillan.
| A.J. BrownNWE | Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 221.1 | 213.3 | Brown +7.8 pts |
| Points per game | 13.0 | 12.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 48.3 | 40.5 | Brown +7.8 |
| Overall rank | #35 | #38 | Brown by 3 |
| Position rank | WR11 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 18.2 | 32.2 | McMillan +14.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 5 |
Should I draft A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
A.J. Brown. He projects 221.1 fantasy points with 48.3 value over replacement, vs 213.3 points and 40.5 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR).