Head to head · WR · 2026
A.J. Brown vs Tetairoa McMillan
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
A.J. Brown
The model takes A.J. Brown: a clear but modest edge of 7.8 points of value over replacement (48.3 vs 40.6).
The draft market agrees: A.J. Brown goes first at ADP 14.3 vs 33.0 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Health note: Tetairoa McMillan carries an injury flag — Questionable (Ankle) — which is already reflected in his projection.
| A.J. Brown | Tetairoa McMillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | NWE | CAR |
| Overall rank | #34 | #38 |
| Position rank | WR11 | WR13 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 221.1 | 213.3 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 48.3 | 40.6 |
| Market ADP | 14.3 | 33.0 |
| Injury flag | — | Questionable |
Should I draft A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan in 2026 fantasy football?
A.J. Brown. He projects 221.1 fantasy points with 48.3 value over replacement, vs 213.3 points and 40.6 for Tetairoa McMillan (WR, PPR).