A.J. Brown vs Zay Flowers
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR11
A.J. Brown
221.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR12
Zay Flowers
217.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans A.J. Brown by 4.1 points of value over replacement (48.3 vs 44.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: A.J. Brown goes first at ADP 18.2 vs 26.1 for Zay Flowers.
| A.J. BrownNWE | Zay FlowersBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 221.1 | 217.0 | Brown +4.1 pts |
| Points per game | 13.0 | 12.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 48.3 | 44.2 | Brown +4.1 |
| Overall rank | #35 | #36 | Brown by 1 |
| Position rank | WR11 | WR12 | |
| Market ADP | 18.2 | 26.1 | Flowers +7.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 |
Should I draft A.J. Brown or Zay Flowers in 2026 fantasy football?
A.J. Brown. He projects 221.1 fantasy points with 48.3 value over replacement, vs 217.0 points and 44.2 for Zay Flowers (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.