Nico Collins vs A.J. Brown

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

WR9
Nico Collins
HOU · Bye 8
229.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR11
A.J. Brown
NWE · Bye 11
221.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Nico Collins: a clear but modest edge of 8.1 points of value over replacement (56.4 vs 48.3).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take A.J. Brown first (ADP 18.2 vs 21.0). If the model is right, Nico Collins is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Nico CollinsHOU A.J. BrownNWE Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 229.1 221.1 Collins +8.1 pts
Points per game 13.5 13.0
Value over replacement (VBD) 56.4 48.3 Collins +8.1
Overall rank #31 #35 Collins by 4
Position rank WR9 WR11
Market ADP 21.0 18.2 Collins +2.8 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 2 Rd 2
Bye week 8 11

Should I draft Nico Collins or A.J. Brown in 2026 fantasy football?

Nico Collins. He projects 229.1 fantasy points with 56.4 value over replacement, vs 221.1 points and 48.3 for A.J. Brown (WR, PPR).

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