Nico Collins vs A.J. Brown
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Nico Collins this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (14.8 vs 13.3).
Nico Collins faces JAX, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. A.J. Brown faces NYJ, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Nico Collins: a clear but modest edge of 11.8 points of value over replacement (55.1 vs 43.4).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take A.J. Brown first (ADP 16.6 vs 19.6). If the model is right, Nico Collins is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: A.J. Brown carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Nico CollinsHOU | A.J. BrownNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | JAX | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 14.8 | 13.3 | Collins +1.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #7 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 233.6 | 221.8 | Collins +11.8 pts |
| Points per game | 13.7 | 13.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 55.1 | 43.4 | Collins +11.8 |
| Overall rank | #31 | #39 | Collins by 8 |
| Position rank | WR10 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 19.6 | 16.6 | Collins +3.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Nico Collins or A.J. Brown in Week 6?
Start Nico Collins this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (14.8 vs 13.3).
Should I draft Nico Collins or A.J. Brown in 2026 fantasy football?
Nico Collins. He projects 233.6 fantasy points with 55.1 value over replacement, vs 221.8 points and 43.4 for A.J. Brown (WR, PPR).