Head to head · TE · 2026
George Kittle vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
George Kittle
The model takes George Kittle: a clear but modest edge of 13.6 points of value over replacement (-13.5 vs -27.2).
The draft market agrees: George Kittle goes first at ADP 104.8 vs 115.9 for Jake Ferguson.
Health note: George Kittle carries an injury flag — Questionable (Achilles) — which is already reflected in his projection.
| George Kittle | Jake Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | SFO | DAL |
| Overall rank | #94 | #108 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE11 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 159.2 | 145.6 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -13.5 | -27.2 |
| Market ADP | 104.8 | 115.9 |
| Injury flag | Questionable | — |
Should I draft George Kittle or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 159.2 fantasy points with -13.5 value over replacement, vs 145.6 points and -27.2 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).