George Kittle vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE9
George Kittle
159.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE11
Jake Ferguson
145.6
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes George Kittle: a clear but modest edge of 13.6 points of value over replacement (-13.5 vs -27.2).
The draft market agrees: George Kittle goes first at ADP 116.7 vs 132.7 for Jake Ferguson.
Health note: George Kittle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Achilles), which is already reflected in his projection.
| George KittleSFO | Jake FergusonDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 159.2 | 145.6 | Kittle +13.6 pts |
| Points per game | 9.4 | 8.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -13.5 | -27.2 | Kittle +13.6 |
| Overall rank | #95 | #108 | Kittle by 13 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE11 | |
| Market ADP | 116.7 | 132.7 | Ferguson +16.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft George Kittle or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
George Kittle. He projects 159.2 fantasy points with -13.5 value over replacement, vs 145.6 points and -27.2 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).