Trevor Lawrence vs Fernando Mendoza
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB11
Trevor Lawrence
268.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB12
Fernando Mendoza
251.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Trevor Lawrence, and it isn't close: 16.3 points of value over replacement separate them (16.3 vs 0.0).
The draft market agrees: Trevor Lawrence goes first at ADP 91.4 vs 164.7 for Fernando Mendoza.
| Trevor LawrenceJAX | Fernando MendozaLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 268.1 | 251.8 | Lawrence +16.3 pts |
| Points per game | 15.8 | 14.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 16.3 | 0.0 | Lawrence +16.3 |
| Overall rank | #57 | #72 | Lawrence by 15 |
| Position rank | QB11 | QB12 | |
| Market ADP | 91.4 | 164.7 | Mendoza +73.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 |
Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Fernando Mendoza in 2026 fantasy football?
Trevor Lawrence. He projects 268.1 fantasy points with 16.3 value over replacement, vs 251.8 points and 0.0 for Fernando Mendoza (QB, PPR).