Emmett Johnson vs Eli Heidenreich
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Emmett Johnson by 0.8 projected points (8.1 vs 7.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Emmett Johnson faces ATL, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Eli Heidenreich faces CIN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Emmett Johnson by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-23.7 vs -23.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Emmett JohnsonKAN | Eli HeidenreichPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ATL | CIN | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 8.1 | 7.3 | Johnson +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #3 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 123.0 | 122.9 | Johnson +0.1 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 7.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -23.7 | -23.8 | Johnson +0.1 |
| Overall rank | #98 | #99 | Johnson by 1 |
| Position rank | RB35 | RB36 | |
| Market ADP | 142.3 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 5 | 9 |
Should I start Emmett Johnson or Eli Heidenreich in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Emmett Johnson by 0.8 projected points (8.1 vs 7.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Emmett Johnson or Eli Heidenreich in 2026 fantasy football?
Emmett Johnson. He projects 123.0 fantasy points with -23.7 value over replacement, vs 122.9 points and -23.8 for Eli Heidenreich (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.