Emmett Johnson vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Emmett Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (8.1 vs 6.3).
Emmett Johnson faces ATL, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces IND, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Emmett Johnson by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-23.7 vs -24.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Emmett JohnsonKAN | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ATL | IND | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 8.1 | 6.3 | Johnson +1.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #3 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 123.0 | 122.4 | Johnson +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 7.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -23.7 | -24.3 | Johnson +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #98 | #101 | Johnson by 3 |
| Position rank | RB35 | RB37 | |
| Market ADP | 142.3 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 5 | 6 |
Should I start Emmett Johnson or Ollie Gordon in Week 10?
Start Emmett Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (8.1 vs 6.3).
Should I draft Emmett Johnson or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Emmett Johnson. He projects 123.0 fantasy points with -23.7 value over replacement, vs 122.4 points and -24.3 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.