Jaxson Dart vs Drake Maye
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaxson Dart by 0.6 projected points (16.2 vs 15.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaxson Dart faces WAS, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Drake Maye faces LV, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxson Dart: a clear but modest edge of 5.3 points of value over replacement (-27.7 vs -33.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Drake Maye first (ADP 51.8 vs 118.2). If the model is right, Jaxson Dart is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jaxson Dart carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - Meniscus), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxson DartNYG | Drake MayeNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | WAS | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 16.2 | 15.6 | Dart +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 257.5 | 252.2 | Dart +5.3 pts |
| Points per game | 15.1 | 14.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.7 | -33.0 | Dart +5.3 |
| Overall rank | #103 | #111 | Dart by 8 |
| Position rank | QB17 | QB20 | |
| Market ADP | 118.2 | 51.8 | Dart +66.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jaxson Dart or Drake Maye in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaxson Dart by 0.6 projected points (16.2 vs 15.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaxson Dart or Drake Maye in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxson Dart. He projects 257.5 fantasy points with -27.7 value over replacement, vs 252.2 points and -33.0 for Drake Maye (QB, PPR).