Tetairoa McMillan vs DeVonta Smith

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

WR13
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR · Bye 5
211.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR16
DeVonta Smith
PHI · Bye 10
203.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Tetairoa McMillan: a clear but modest edge of 7.7 points of value over replacement (31.2 vs 23.5).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take DeVonta Smith first (ADP 29.5 vs 31.5). If the model is right, Tetairoa McMillan is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Tetairoa McMillanCAR DeVonta SmithPHI Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 211.5 203.8 McMillan +7.7 pts
Points per game 12.4 12.0
Value over replacement (VBD) 31.2 23.5 McMillan +7.7
Overall rank #45 #50 McMillan by 5
Position rank WR13 WR16
Market ADP 31.5 29.5 McMillan +2.0 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 3 Rd 3
Bye week 5 10

Should I draft Tetairoa McMillan or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?

Tetairoa McMillan. He projects 211.5 fantasy points with 31.2 value over replacement, vs 203.8 points and 23.5 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR).

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