Tetairoa McMillan vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Tetairoa McMillan this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (13.1 vs 11.2).
Tetairoa McMillan faces PHI, the 12th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. DeVonta Smith faces CAR, the 27th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tetairoa McMillan: a clear but modest edge of 12.9 points of value over replacement (24.9 vs 12.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take DeVonta Smith first (ADP 29.1 vs 31.5). If the model is right, Tetairoa McMillan is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: DeVonta Smith carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tetairoa McMillanCAR | DeVonta SmithPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | PHI | CAR | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 13.1 | 11.2 | McMillan +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 217.7 | 204.8 | McMillan +12.9 pts |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 12.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.9 | 12.0 | McMillan +12.9 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #57 | McMillan by 8 |
| Position rank | WR13 | WR16 | |
| Market ADP | 31.5 | 29.1 | McMillan +2.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or DeVonta Smith in Week 6?
Start Tetairoa McMillan this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (13.1 vs 11.2).
Should I draft Tetairoa McMillan or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
Tetairoa McMillan. He projects 217.7 fantasy points with 24.9 value over replacement, vs 204.8 points and 12.0 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR).