Saquon Barkley vs Derrick Henry

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

RB8
Saquon Barkley
PHI · Bye 10
238.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB11
Derrick Henry
BAL · Bye 13
217.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Saquon Barkley, and it isn't close: 20.8 points of value over replacement separate them (104.5 vs 83.7).

The room sees it the other way: drafters take Derrick Henry first (ADP 17.4 vs 19.3). If the model is right, Saquon Barkley is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Saquon BarkleyPHI Derrick HenryBAL Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 238.0 217.2 Barkley +20.8 pts
Points per game 14.0 12.8
Value over replacement (VBD) 104.5 83.7 Barkley +20.8
Overall rank #12 #16 Barkley by 4
Position rank RB8 RB11
Market ADP 19.3 17.4 Barkley +1.9 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 2 Rd 2
Bye week 10 13

Should I draft Saquon Barkley or Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?

Saquon Barkley. He projects 238.0 fantasy points with 104.5 value over replacement, vs 217.2 points and 83.7 for Derrick Henry (RB, PPR).

Related debates

Run a mock draft Full 2026 rankings Today's versus card