Chase Brown vs Derrick Henry
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB11
Chase Brown
222.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB13
Derrick Henry
205.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Chase Brown, and it isn't close: 17.1 points of value over replacement separate them (93.0 vs 76.0).
The draft market agrees: Chase Brown goes first at ADP 13.3 vs 17.6 for Derrick Henry.
| Chase BrownCIN | Derrick HenryBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 222.7 | 205.7 | Brown +17.1 pts |
| Points per game | 13.1 | 12.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 93.0 | 76.0 | Brown +17.1 |
| Overall rank | #16 | #18 | Brown by 2 |
| Position rank | RB11 | RB13 | |
| Market ADP | 13.3 | 17.6 | Henry +4.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 |
Should I draft Chase Brown or Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
Chase Brown. He projects 222.7 fantasy points with 93.0 value over replacement, vs 205.7 points and 76.0 for Derrick Henry (RB, PPR).