Quentin Johnston vs Deebo Samuel
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Deebo Samuel by 0.8 projected points (8.7 vs 7.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Deebo Samuel faces NYG, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Quentin Johnston faces DEN, the 28th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Quentin Johnston ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Quentin Johnston by 1.3 points of value over replacement (-32.9 vs -34.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Quentin Johnston goes first at ADP 91.1 vs 115.4 for Deebo Samuel.
Health note: Quentin Johnston carries an injury flag of Out (Chest), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Deebo Samuel carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | Deebo SamuelWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DEN | NYG | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.9 | 8.7 | Samuel +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #28 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.5 | 144.2 | Johnston +1.3 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -32.9 | -34.2 | Johnston +1.3 |
| Overall rank | #108 | #109 | Johnston by 1 |
| Position rank | WR45 | WR46 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | 115.4 | Samuel +24.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Out | Out |
Should I start Quentin Johnston or Deebo Samuel in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Deebo Samuel by 0.8 projected points (8.7 vs 7.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Quentin Johnston or Deebo Samuel in 2026 fantasy football?
Quentin Johnston. He projects 145.5 fantasy points with -32.9 value over replacement, vs 144.2 points and -34.2 for Deebo Samuel (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.