Deebo Samuel vs Jalen Coker
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Coker by 0.4 projected points (7.8 vs 7.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jalen Coker faces CLE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Deebo Samuel faces SEA, the 25th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Deebo Samuel ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Deebo Samuel by 1.6 points of value over replacement (-44.9 vs -46.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Deebo Samuel goes first at ADP 115.4 vs 118.5 for Jalen Coker.
Health note: Jalen Coker carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Deebo SamuelWAS | Jalen CokerCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | SEA | CLE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 7.3 | 7.8 | Coker +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 133.5 | 131.9 | Samuel +1.6 pts |
| Points per game | 7.9 | 7.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -44.9 | -46.5 | Samuel +1.6 |
| Overall rank | #120 | #123 | Samuel by 3 |
| Position rank | WR50 | WR53 | |
| Market ADP | 115.4 | 118.5 | Coker +3.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 5 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Deebo Samuel or Jalen Coker in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Coker by 0.4 projected points (7.8 vs 7.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Deebo Samuel or Jalen Coker in 2026 fantasy football?
Deebo Samuel. He projects 133.5 fantasy points with -44.9 value over replacement, vs 131.9 points and -46.5 for Jalen Coker (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.