Jalen Coker vs Deebo Samuel
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Coker by 0.4 projected points (8.3 vs 7.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jalen Coker faces NO, the 12th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Deebo Samuel faces DAL, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jalen Coker: a clear but modest edge of 9.6 points of value over replacement (-41.0 vs -50.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Deebo Samuel first (ADP 115.4 vs 118.5). If the model is right, Jalen Coker is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jalen CokerCAR | Deebo SamuelSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | NO | DAL | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 8.3 | 7.9 | Coker +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 136.1 | 126.5 | Coker +9.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.0 | 7.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -41.0 | -50.6 | Coker +9.6 |
| Overall rank | #123 | #133 | Coker by 10 |
| Position rank | WR44 | WR47 | |
| Market ADP | 118.5 | 115.4 | Coker +3.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 8 |
Should I start Jalen Coker or Deebo Samuel in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Coker by 0.4 projected points (8.3 vs 7.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jalen Coker or Deebo Samuel in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Coker. He projects 136.1 fantasy points with -41.0 value over replacement, vs 126.5 points and -50.6 for Deebo Samuel (WR, PPR).