Quentin Johnston vs Makai Lemon
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Makai Lemon by 0.5 projected points (8.5 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Makai Lemon faces CHI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Quentin Johnston faces BUF, the 29th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Quentin Johnston ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Quentin Johnston: a clear but modest edge of 10.0 points of value over replacement (-21.7 vs -31.7).
The draft market agrees: Quentin Johnston goes first at ADP 91.1 vs 131.2 for Makai Lemon.
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | Makai LemonPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | BUF | CHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.0 | 8.5 | Lemon +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #29 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.5 | 145.5 | Johnston +10.0 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 8.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -21.7 | -31.7 | Johnston +10.0 |
| Overall rank | #99 | #105 | Johnston by 6 |
| Position rank | WR40 | WR43 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | 131.2 | Lemon +40.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 |
Should I start Quentin Johnston or Makai Lemon in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Makai Lemon by 0.5 projected points (8.5 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Quentin Johnston or Makai Lemon in 2026 fantasy football?
Quentin Johnston. He projects 155.5 fantasy points with -21.7 value over replacement, vs 145.5 points and -31.7 for Makai Lemon (WR, PPR).