Dallas Goedert vs Juwan Johnson
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.7 projected points (7.9 vs 7.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dallas Goedert faces CHI, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Juwan Johnson faces LV, the 13th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dallas Goedert, and it isn't close: 16.6 points of value over replacement separate them (-39.5 vs -56.1).
The draft market agrees: Dallas Goedert goes first at ADP 121.6 vs 154.5 for Juwan Johnson.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Out (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | Juwan JohnsonNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CHI | LV | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 7.9 | 7.2 | Goedert +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #20 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 137.7 | 121.1 | Goedert +16.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.1 | 7.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -39.5 | -56.1 | Goedert +16.6 |
| Overall rank | #117 | #133 | Goedert by 16 |
| Position rank | TE14 | TE17 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | 154.5 | Johnson +32.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Juwan Johnson in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.7 projected points (7.9 vs 7.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or Juwan Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 137.7 fantasy points with -39.5 value over replacement, vs 121.1 points and -56.1 for Juwan Johnson (TE, PPR).