Ollie Gordon vs Chris Brooks
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Brooks by 0.3 projected points (2.3 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Brooks faces TB, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces MIN, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Ollie Gordon ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Ollie Gordon by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-96.8 vs -97.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Ollie Gordon carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Ollie GordonMIA | Chris BrooksGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | TB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.0 | 2.3 | Brooks +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 39.8 | 39.2 | Gordon +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 2.3 | 2.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -96.8 | -97.4 | Gordon +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #195 | #197 | Gordon by 2 |
| Position rank | RB73 | RB74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Ollie Gordon or Chris Brooks in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Brooks by 0.3 projected points (2.3 vs 2.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ollie Gordon or Chris Brooks in 2026 fantasy football?
Ollie Gordon. He projects 39.8 fantasy points with -96.8 value over replacement, vs 39.2 points and -97.4 for Chris Brooks (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.