Caleb Williams vs Kirk Cousins
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Caleb Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (19.2 vs 17.0).
Caleb Williams faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Kirk Cousins faces NE, the 16th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Caleb Williams: a clear but modest edge of 11.9 points of value over replacement (13.4 vs 1.4).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Caleb Williams carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Caleb WilliamsCHI | Kirk CousinsLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | GB | NE | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 19.2 | 17.0 | Williams +2.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #5 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 298.6 | 286.7 | Williams +11.9 pts |
| Points per game | 17.6 | 16.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 13.4 | 1.4 | Williams +11.9 |
| Overall rank | #60 | #68 | Williams by 8 |
| Position rank | QB9 | QB11 | |
| Market ADP | 86.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Caleb Williams or Kirk Cousins in Week 5?
Start Caleb Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (19.2 vs 17.0).
Should I draft Caleb Williams or Kirk Cousins in 2026 fantasy football?
Caleb Williams. He projects 298.6 fantasy points with 13.4 value over replacement, vs 286.7 points and 1.4 for Kirk Cousins (QB, PPR).