Bryce Young vs Caleb Williams
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Caleb Williams this week: Bryce Young is on bye in Week 5.
Caleb Williams gets GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week, projecting 19.2 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Bryce Young by 3.3 points of value over replacement (16.7 vs 13.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Caleb Williams first (ADP 86.0 vs 168.2). If the model is right, Bryce Young is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Caleb Williams carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Bryce YoungCAR | Caleb WilliamsCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | Bye | GB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 0.0 | 19.2 | Williams +19.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | - | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 301.9 | 298.6 | Young +3.3 pts |
| Points per game | 17.8 | 17.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 16.7 | 13.4 | Young +3.3 |
| Overall rank | #54 | #60 | Young by 6 |
| Position rank | QB8 | QB9 | |
| Market ADP | 168.2 | 86.0 | Young +82.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Bryce Young or Caleb Williams in Week 5?
Start Caleb Williams this week: Bryce Young is on bye in Week 5.
Should I draft Bryce Young or Caleb Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Bryce Young. He projects 301.9 fantasy points with 16.7 value over replacement, vs 298.6 points and 13.4 for Caleb Williams (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.