Cade Otton vs Tyler Higbee
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Cade Otton by 0.1 projected points (7.6 vs 7.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Cade Otton faces DAL, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tyler Higbee faces BUF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Cade Otton: a clear but modest edge of 7.3 points of value over replacement (-55.8 vs -63.1).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Cade OttonTAM | Tyler HigbeeLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DAL | BUF | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.6 | 7.5 | Otton +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #25 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 136.1 | 128.9 | Otton +7.3 pts |
| Points per game | 8.0 | 7.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -55.8 | -63.1 | Otton +7.3 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #151 | Otton by 12 |
| Position rank | TE23 | TE25 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 |
Should I start Cade Otton or Tyler Higbee in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Cade Otton by 0.1 projected points (7.6 vs 7.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Cade Otton or Tyler Higbee in 2026 fantasy football?
Cade Otton. He projects 136.1 fantasy points with -55.8 value over replacement, vs 128.9 points and -63.1 for Tyler Higbee (TE, PPR).