Cade Otton vs Hunter Henry
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.3 projected points (7.9 vs 7.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Hunter Henry faces LV, the 6th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Cade Otton faces DAL, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Cade Otton ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Cade Otton: a clear but modest edge of 9.6 points of value over replacement (-55.8 vs -65.4).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Cade OttonTAM | Hunter HenryNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DAL | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.6 | 7.9 | Henry +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #25 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 136.1 | 126.6 | Otton +9.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.0 | 7.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -55.8 | -65.4 | Otton +9.6 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #154 | Otton by 15 |
| Position rank | TE23 | TE26 | |
| Market ADP | - | 154.5 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 |
Should I start Cade Otton or Hunter Henry in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Hunter Henry by 0.3 projected points (7.9 vs 7.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Cade Otton or Hunter Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
Cade Otton. He projects 136.1 fantasy points with -55.8 value over replacement, vs 126.6 points and -65.4 for Hunter Henry (TE, PPR).