Mark Andrews vs Cade Otton
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mark Andrews by 0.5 projected points (8.1 vs 7.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mark Andrews faces ATL, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Cade Otton faces DAL, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Mark Andrews: a clear but modest edge of 5.7 points of value over replacement (-50.2 vs -55.8).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Mark AndrewsBAL | Cade OttonTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | ATL | DAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 8.1 | 7.6 | Andrews +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #22 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 141.8 | 136.1 | Andrews +5.7 pts |
| Points per game | 8.3 | 8.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -50.2 | -55.8 | Andrews +5.7 |
| Overall rank | #129 | #139 | Andrews by 10 |
| Position rank | TE21 | TE23 | |
| Market ADP | 133.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I start Mark Andrews or Cade Otton in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mark Andrews by 0.5 projected points (8.1 vs 7.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Mark Andrews or Cade Otton in 2026 fantasy football?
Mark Andrews. He projects 141.8 fantasy points with -50.2 value over replacement, vs 136.1 points and -55.8 for Cade Otton (TE, PPR).