Pat Freiermuth vs Mark Andrews
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.7 projected points (8.8 vs 8.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Pat Freiermuth faces IND, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Mark Andrews faces ATL, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Pat Freiermuth: a clear but modest edge of 7.6 points of value over replacement (-42.6 vs -50.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Pat FreiermuthPIT | Mark AndrewsBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | IND | ATL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 8.8 | 8.1 | Freiermuth +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #14 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 149.4 | 141.8 | Freiermuth +7.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.8 | 8.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -42.6 | -50.2 | Freiermuth +7.6 |
| Overall rank | #120 | #129 | Freiermuth by 9 |
| Position rank | TE19 | TE21 | |
| Market ADP | - | 133.0 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 13 |
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or Mark Andrews in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.7 projected points (8.8 vs 8.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Pat Freiermuth or Mark Andrews in 2026 fantasy football?
Pat Freiermuth. He projects 149.4 fantasy points with -42.6 value over replacement, vs 141.8 points and -50.2 for Mark Andrews (TE, PPR).