Mark Andrews vs Noah Fant
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Noah Fant by 0.1 projected points (8.2 vs 8.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Noah Fant faces MIN, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Mark Andrews faces ATL, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Mark Andrews ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Mark Andrews by 1.1 points of value over replacement (-50.2 vs -51.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Noah Fant carries an injury flag of Questionable (Abdomen), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Mark AndrewsBAL | Noah FantNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | ATL | MIN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 8.1 | 8.2 | Fant +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #22 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 141.8 | 140.7 | Andrews +1.1 pts |
| Points per game | 8.3 | 8.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -50.2 | -51.3 | Andrews +1.1 |
| Overall rank | #129 | #132 | Andrews by 3 |
| Position rank | TE21 | TE22 | |
| Market ADP | 133.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Mark Andrews or Noah Fant in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Noah Fant by 0.1 projected points (8.2 vs 8.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Mark Andrews or Noah Fant in 2026 fantasy football?
Mark Andrews. He projects 141.8 fantasy points with -50.2 value over replacement, vs 140.7 points and -51.3 for Noah Fant (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.