Amon-Ra St. Brown vs Nico Collins
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Amon-Ra St. Brown by 0.3 projected points (17.8 vs 17.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Amon-Ra St. Brown faces NYJ, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Nico Collins faces IND, the 6th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Amon-Ra St. Brown by 3.4 points of value over replacement (96.8 vs 93.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Amon-Ra St. Brown goes first at ADP 7.0 vs 19.6 for Nico Collins.
Health note: Nico Collins carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | Nico CollinsHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYJ | IND | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 17.8 | 17.5 | Brown +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 275.2 | 271.8 | Brown +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 16.2 | 16.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 96.8 | 93.4 | Brown +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #15 | #16 | Brown by 1 |
| Position rank | WR4 | WR5 | |
| Market ADP | 7.0 | 19.6 | Collins +12.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Nico Collins in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Amon-Ra St. Brown by 0.3 projected points (17.8 vs 17.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Amon-Ra St. Brown or Nico Collins in 2026 fantasy football?
Amon-Ra St. Brown. He projects 275.2 fantasy points with 96.8 value over replacement, vs 271.8 points and 93.4 for Nico Collins (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.