Tyjae Spears vs Michael Carter
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 0.2 projected points (2.7 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Both face NYG, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 3.9 points of value over replacement (-84.2 vs -88.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tyjae Spears carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyjae SpearsTEN | Michael CarterTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | NYG | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.7 | 2.5 | Spears +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 52.4 | 48.5 | Spears +3.9 pts |
| Points per game | 3.1 | 2.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -84.2 | -88.1 | Spears +3.9 |
| Overall rank | #164 | #170 | Spears by 6 |
| Position rank | RB52 | RB55 | |
| Market ADP | 129.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tyjae Spears or Michael Carter in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 0.2 projected points (2.7 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyjae Spears or Michael Carter in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyjae Spears. He projects 52.4 fantasy points with -84.2 value over replacement, vs 48.5 points and -88.1 for Michael Carter (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.