Tyjae Spears vs Michael Carter
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 1.0 projected points (4.9 vs 3.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Both face JAX, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyjae Spears, and it isn't close: 16.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-63.4 vs -80.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tyjae Spears carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyjae SpearsTEN | Michael CarterTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | JAX | JAX | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 4.9 | 3.9 | Spears +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #16 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 83.3 | 66.5 | Spears +16.8 pts |
| Points per game | 4.9 | 3.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -63.4 | -80.2 | Spears +16.8 |
| Overall rank | #146 | #166 | Spears by 20 |
| Position rank | RB50 | RB53 | |
| Market ADP | 129.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tyjae Spears or Michael Carter in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 1.0 projected points (4.9 vs 3.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyjae Spears or Michael Carter in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyjae Spears. He projects 83.3 fantasy points with -63.4 value over replacement, vs 66.5 points and -80.2 for Michael Carter (RB, PPR).