Ty Johnson vs Michael Carter
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Ty Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (5.5 vs 3.9).
Ty Johnson faces NYJ, the 1st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Michael Carter faces JAX, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Ty Johnson: a clear but modest edge of 14.9 points of value over replacement (-65.3 vs -80.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Ty JohnsonBUF | Michael CarterTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | NYJ | JAX | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 5.5 | 3.9 | Johnson +1.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #1 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 81.4 | 66.5 | Johnson +14.9 pts |
| Points per game | 4.8 | 3.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.3 | -80.2 | Johnson +14.9 |
| Overall rank | #150 | #166 | Johnson by 16 |
| Position rank | RB51 | RB53 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 9 |
Should I start Ty Johnson or Michael Carter in Week 10?
Start Ty Johnson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.6 projected points (5.5 vs 3.9).
Should I draft Ty Johnson or Michael Carter in 2026 fantasy football?
Ty Johnson. He projects 81.4 fantasy points with -65.3 value over replacement, vs 66.5 points and -80.2 for Michael Carter (RB, PPR).