Tyjae Spears vs Ty Johnson
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.6 projected points (5.5 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ty Johnson faces NYJ, the 1st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Tyjae Spears faces JAX, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tyjae Spears ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 1.9 points of value over replacement (-63.4 vs -65.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Tyjae Spears carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyjae SpearsTEN | Ty JohnsonBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | JAX | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 4.9 | 5.5 | Johnson +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #16 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 83.3 | 81.4 | Spears +1.9 pts |
| Points per game | 4.9 | 4.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -63.4 | -65.3 | Spears +1.9 |
| Overall rank | #146 | #150 | Spears by 4 |
| Position rank | RB50 | RB51 | |
| Market ADP | 129.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tyjae Spears or Ty Johnson in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.6 projected points (5.5 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyjae Spears or Ty Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyjae Spears. He projects 83.3 fantasy points with -63.4 value over replacement, vs 81.4 points and -65.3 for Ty Johnson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.