Tyler Higbee vs Kyle Pitts
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Higbee by 0.8 projected points (7.5 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Higbee faces BUF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kyle Pitts faces BAL, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Higbee: a clear but modest edge of 11.9 points of value over replacement (-63.1 vs -75.0).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyler HigbeeLAR | Kyle PittsATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | BUF | BAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.5 | 6.8 | Higbee +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #15 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 128.9 | 117.0 | Higbee +11.9 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 6.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -63.1 | -75.0 | Higbee +11.9 |
| Overall rank | #151 | #162 | Higbee by 11 |
| Position rank | TE25 | TE28 | |
| Market ADP | - | 80.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Tyler Higbee or Kyle Pitts in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Higbee by 0.8 projected points (7.5 vs 6.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Higbee or Kyle Pitts in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Higbee. He projects 128.9 fantasy points with -63.1 value over replacement, vs 117.0 points and -75.0 for Kyle Pitts (TE, PPR).