Justin Jefferson vs Malik Nabers
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Justin Jefferson this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (15.2 vs 12.8).
Justin Jefferson faces TB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Malik Nabers faces TEN, the 12th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Justin Jefferson, and it isn't close: 21.9 points of value over replacement separate them (57.5 vs 35.6).
The draft market agrees: Justin Jefferson goes first at ADP 11.8 vs 27.1 for Malik Nabers.
| Justin JeffersonMIN | Malik NabersNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | TB | TEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 15.2 | 12.8 | Jefferson +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 235.9 | 214.0 | Jefferson +21.9 pts |
| Points per game | 13.9 | 12.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 57.5 | 35.6 | Jefferson +21.9 |
| Overall rank | #30 | #41 | Jefferson by 11 |
| Position rank | WR10 | WR13 | |
| Market ADP | 11.8 | 27.1 | Nabers +15.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 |
Should I start Justin Jefferson or Malik Nabers in Week 3?
Start Justin Jefferson this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (15.2 vs 12.8).
Should I draft Justin Jefferson or Malik Nabers in 2026 fantasy football?
Justin Jefferson. He projects 235.9 fantasy points with 57.5 value over replacement, vs 214.0 points and 35.6 for Malik Nabers (WR, PPR).