Jayden Daniels vs Matthew Stafford
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
QB5
Jayden Daniels
290.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
QB8
Matthew Stafford
282.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Jayden Daniels: a clear but modest edge of 8.3 points of value over replacement (38.6 vs 30.3).
The draft market agrees: Jayden Daniels goes first at ADP 71.9 vs 77.1 for Matthew Stafford.
| Jayden DanielsWAS | Matthew StaffordLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 290.4 | 282.1 | Daniels +8.3 pts |
| Points per game | 17.1 | 16.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 38.6 | 30.3 | Daniels +8.3 |
| Overall rank | #39 | #46 | Daniels by 7 |
| Position rank | QB5 | QB8 | |
| Market ADP | 71.9 | 77.1 | Stafford +5.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 |
Should I draft Jayden Daniels or Matthew Stafford in 2026 fantasy football?
Jayden Daniels. He projects 290.4 fantasy points with 38.6 value over replacement, vs 282.1 points and 30.3 for Matthew Stafford (QB, PPR).