Jawhar Jordan vs Kaelon Black
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jawhar Jordan by 0.3 projected points (3.0 vs 2.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jawhar Jordan faces TEN, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kaelon Black faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jawhar Jordan by 2.8 points of value over replacement (-86.7 vs -89.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jawhar JordanHOU | Kaelon BlackSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TEN | SEA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 3.0 | 2.7 | Jordan +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #13 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 49.8 | 47.0 | Jordan +2.8 pts |
| Points per game | 2.9 | 2.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -86.7 | -89.6 | Jordan +2.8 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #165 | Jordan by 3 |
| Position rank | RB52 | RB54 | |
| Market ADP | - | 166.2 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Jawhar Jordan or Kaelon Black in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jawhar Jordan by 0.3 projected points (3.0 vs 2.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jawhar Jordan or Kaelon Black in 2026 fantasy football?
Jawhar Jordan. He projects 49.8 fantasy points with -86.7 value over replacement, vs 47.0 points and -89.6 for Kaelon Black (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.