Jalen Nailor vs Skyler Bell
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Skyler Bell by 0.4 projected points (5.7 vs 5.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Skyler Bell faces NE, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jalen Nailor faces KC, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jalen Nailor ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jalen Nailor: a clear but modest edge of 8.1 points of value over replacement (-86.4 vs -94.4).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Skyler Bell carries an injury flag of Out (Coach's Decision), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jalen NailorLVR | Skyler BellBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | KC | NE | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.3 | 5.7 | Bell +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 94.0 | 85.9 | Nailor +8.1 pts |
| Points per game | 5.5 | 5.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -86.4 | -94.4 | Nailor +8.1 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #185 | Nailor by 23 |
| Position rank | WR67 | WR70 | |
| Market ADP | 154.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Jalen Nailor or Skyler Bell in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Skyler Bell by 0.4 projected points (5.7 vs 5.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jalen Nailor or Skyler Bell in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Nailor. He projects 94.0 fantasy points with -86.4 value over replacement, vs 85.9 points and -94.4 for Skyler Bell (WR, PPR).