Jalen Nailor vs Cooper Kupp
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 0.3 projected points (6.3 vs 6.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jalen Nailor faces NE, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Cooper Kupp faces SF, the 17th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 1.9 points of value over replacement (-75.2 vs -77.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Jalen Nailor goes first at ADP 154.4 vs 160.4 for Cooper Kupp.
Health note: Jalen Nailor carries an injury flag of Out (Concussion), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jalen NailorLVR | Cooper KuppSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NE | SF | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 6.3 | 6.0 | Nailor +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #9 | #17 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 103.2 | 101.3 | Nailor +1.9 pts |
| Points per game | 6.1 | 6.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -75.2 | -77.2 | Nailor +1.9 |
| Overall rank | #155 | #157 | Nailor by 2 |
| Position rank | WR65 | WR66 | |
| Market ADP | 154.4 | 160.4 | Kupp +6.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Jalen Nailor or Cooper Kupp in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 0.3 projected points (6.3 vs 6.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jalen Nailor or Cooper Kupp in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Nailor. He projects 103.2 fantasy points with -75.2 value over replacement, vs 101.3 points and -77.2 for Cooper Kupp (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.