Denzel Boston vs Jalen Nailor
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 0.2 projected points (6.3 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jalen Nailor faces NE, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Denzel Boston faces NYJ, the 27th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Denzel Boston ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Denzel Boston: a clear but modest edge of 9.8 points of value over replacement (-65.0 vs -74.8).
The draft market agrees: Denzel Boston goes first at ADP 140.6 vs 154.4 for Jalen Nailor.
Health note: Jalen Nailor carries an injury flag of Out (Concussion), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Denzel BostonCLE | Jalen NailorLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYJ | NE | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 6.1 | 6.3 | Nailor +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #27 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 113.0 | 103.2 | Boston +9.8 pts |
| Points per game | 6.6 | 6.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.0 | -74.8 | Boston +9.8 |
| Overall rank | #146 | #155 | Boston by 9 |
| Position rank | WR62 | WR65 | |
| Market ADP | 140.6 | 154.4 | Nailor +13.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Denzel Boston or Jalen Nailor in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 0.2 projected points (6.3 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Denzel Boston or Jalen Nailor in 2026 fantasy football?
Denzel Boston. He projects 113.0 fantasy points with -65.0 value over replacement, vs 103.2 points and -74.8 for Jalen Nailor (WR, PPR).