Tyquan Thornton vs Jalen Nailor
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Tyquan Thornton this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (6.2 vs 5.0).
Tyquan Thornton faces MIA, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jalen Nailor faces NO, the 27th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyquan Thornton: a clear but modest edge of 5.5 points of value over replacement (-80.1 vs -85.6).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyquan ThorntonKAN | Jalen NailorLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | MIA | NO | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.2 | 5.0 | Thornton +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #8 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 98.4 | 92.9 | Thornton +5.5 pts |
| Points per game | 5.8 | 5.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -80.1 | -85.6 | Thornton +5.5 |
| Overall rank | #158 | #165 | Thornton by 7 |
| Position rank | WR67 | WR69 | |
| Market ADP | - | 154.4 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 13 |
Should I start Tyquan Thornton or Jalen Nailor in Week 3?
Start Tyquan Thornton this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (6.2 vs 5.0).
Should I draft Tyquan Thornton or Jalen Nailor in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyquan Thornton. He projects 98.4 fantasy points with -80.1 value over replacement, vs 92.9 points and -85.6 for Jalen Nailor (WR, PPR).