Tyquan Thornton vs Caleb Douglas
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Tyquan Thornton this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (6.2 vs 4.8).
Tyquan Thornton faces MIA, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Caleb Douglas faces KC, the 32nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyquan Thornton by 3.0 points of value over replacement (-80.1 vs -83.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Caleb Douglas carries an injury flag of Out (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyquan ThorntonKAN | Caleb DouglasMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | MIA | KC | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.2 | 4.8 | Thornton +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #8 | #32 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 98.4 | 95.4 | Thornton +3.0 pts |
| Points per game | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -80.1 | -83.0 | Thornton +3.0 |
| Overall rank | #158 | #162 | Thornton by 4 |
| Position rank | WR67 | WR68 | |
| Market ADP | - | 164.1 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Tyquan Thornton or Caleb Douglas in Week 3?
Start Tyquan Thornton this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (6.2 vs 4.8).
Should I draft Tyquan Thornton or Caleb Douglas in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyquan Thornton. He projects 98.4 fantasy points with -80.1 value over replacement, vs 95.4 points and -83.0 for Caleb Douglas (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.