Jalen Nailor vs Tutu Atwell
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 0.8 projected points (5.1 vs 4.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jalen Nailor faces NO, the 27th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Tutu Atwell faces KC, the 32nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jalen Nailor: a clear but modest edge of 8.0 points of value over replacement (-83.3 vs -91.3).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jalen NailorLVR | Tutu AtwellMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NO | KC | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 5.1 | 4.3 | Nailor +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #27 | #32 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 94.0 | 86.0 | Nailor +8.0 pts |
| Points per game | 5.5 | 5.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -83.3 | -91.3 | Nailor +8.0 |
| Overall rank | #163 | #176 | Nailor by 13 |
| Position rank | WR68 | WR71 | |
| Market ADP | 154.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 6 |
Should I start Jalen Nailor or Tutu Atwell in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 0.8 projected points (5.1 vs 4.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jalen Nailor or Tutu Atwell in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Nailor. He projects 94.0 fantasy points with -83.3 value over replacement, vs 86.0 points and -91.3 for Tutu Atwell (WR, PPR).